Analyzing Reliability of a 24/7 Production System: MTBF and R(t) Calculations

Question:

Please review the attached file to help me determine if I am accurately analyzing the reliability of a 24/7 production system. The file contains calculations for MTBF and R(t), but I am unsure about the correct measurement of reliability for a system that experiences various types of failures. Your input would be greatly appreciated. Thank you.Attachment(s): MTBF_R(t)_real_system.xls (209 KB) Version: 1

Top Replies

Are you familiar with the various failure modes in this case? Have you had a chance to explore the other discussions regarding Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF)?

Hello Josh, there are various ways a system can fail. I have come across other discussions on fictitious scenarios, but I am struggling with applying the concepts to my job. I am uncertain about which reliability formula is best suited for this system. I believe Excel can help me determine the cumulative distribution function F(t) in this situation. Can you confirm if this approach is correct?

I apologize for not directly addressing the specific case described in the spreadsheet you attached to your initial post, as it contained a lot of information and I wanted to avoid any confusion. Instead, I have provided an example that should be easy to understand. If this is not the answer you were looking for, please inform me. Best regards. Attachment: Delgado.xls (33 KB) Version 1.

Can you please specify the type of distribution used in this context?

In the spreadsheet attached to my previous post, I have implemented the process generator [= -MTTF.(ln(RAND())] for the exponential distribution from cell B3 to B52. This distribution accurately represents a multiple failure environment when determining observed TTF frequencies. The formula includes a parameter (the arithmetic mean) which I have set to 1,000, but it can be adjusted to suit your needs. This formula is derived using the inverse method of the general expression F(t) = 1 – exp(-t/MTTF), where t is solved by setting F(t) = RAND(). It is worth noting that I provided an example where R(t), F(t), and MTTF were calculated from the existing data at the beginning. Contrary to my usual method, I simplified the process this time to focus on one issue at a time and avoid potential misinterpretations. Feel free to refer to my previous discussion on "Formula for MTBF" for further justification (http://maintenanceforums.com/eve/forums/a/tpc/f/209103451/m/6171050803). Best regards,

Just had a look through your spreadsheet and it appears you've got a firm grasp on the fundamental calculations for MTBF and R(t). For a 24/7 production system, indeed, it can get trickier as different types of failures must be properly accounted for. Here's something that might help you: try considering each failure type as an individual system and carry out reliability analysis separately using the appropriate methods, such as Weibull Analysis for wear-out failures or Poisson Process for random failures. After that, you can develop an overall reliability picture of the system by integrating these separate analyses. Always remember, reliability in real-world systems is often more complex and nuanced than theoretical calculations! Keep digging, you're on the right track!

After reviewing your spreadsheet, I believe you're on the right track with your analysis of the system's reliability. MTBF and R(t) are indeed important measurements. They provide valuable insights into a system’s reliability and failure patterns over time. However, it's also crucial to consider a detailed Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA). This practice comprehensively examines potential failure modes, their causes and effects, empowering you with a more holistic perspective of system reliability. It appears that your system undergoes different types of failures and understanding their respective likelihood and impact could help fine-tune your reliability approach.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

FAQ: 1. What is MTBF and how is it calculated for a production system?

Answer: Answer: MTBF (Mean Time Between Failures) is a measure of the average time between two consecutive failures. It is calculated by dividing the total operational time by the number of failures that occur within that time period.

FAQ: 2. How is reliability (R(t)) calculated for a system experiencing various types of failures?

Answer: Answer: Reliability (R(t)) is the probability that a system will perform its intended function without failure for a specified time under stated conditions. It can be calculated using the formula R(t) = e^(-λt), where λ is the failure rate and t is the time.

FAQ: 3. What factors should be considered when analyzing the reliability of a 24/7 production system?

Answer: Answer: When analyzing the reliability of a 24/7 production system, factors such as maintenance practices, failure modes, downtime costs, and the impact of failures on production output should be considered to ensure accurate reliability assessments.

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